Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC v AD Carmelita: analysis and our pick
Liga de Ascenso · tomorrow 03:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
AD Carmelita have a chance to respond
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 1–2 away defeat at Santa Ana and a 2–2 home draw with Aserri FC. AD Carmelita have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–1 away draw with Aserri FC and a 0–2 home defeat to Guadalupe FC.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 55%, both teams scored 65%. Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC score 1.6 and concede 2.0 a game, AD Carmelita 2.2 and 0.6. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 1.5 = 2.8 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · AD Carmelita · 38%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 79%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
AD Carmelita have the highest probability (38%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 79% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
AD Carmelita — last game: Against Guadalupe FC (0-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.