Lazio U20 v Sudtirol U19: analysis and our pick

Sudtirol U19 have a chance to respond

Lazio U20 have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–2 away draw with Atalanta U20 and a 2–2 home draw with Internazionale U20. Sudtirol U19 have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 2–2 away draw with Lecco U19 and a 1–1 home draw with Virtus Entella U19.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 65%. Lazio U20 score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game, Sudtirol U19 1.4 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 1.4 = 2.8 goals.

Our pick

Away win (2) · Sudtirol U19 · 37%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 79%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Sudtirol U19 have the highest probability (37%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 79% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Lazio U20 — last game: Against Internazionale U20 (2-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 2. Sudtirol U19 — last game: Away to Lecco U19 (2-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.