Johor Darul Takzim FC v Port FC: analysis and our pick
AFC Champions League Elite · tomorrow 12:00 · Sultan Ibrahim Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Johor Darul Takzim FC in good form
Johor Darul Takzim FC have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 2–0 away win at DPMM FC Brunei and a 3–0 away win at Terengganu. Port FC have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 4–1 home win over Rayong FC and a 3–1 away win at Rasi Salai United.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 100%, Over 2.5 80%, both teams scored 60%. Johor Darul Takzim FC score 3.4 and concede 0.2 a game, Port FC 2.6 and 1.8. The Poisson model expects 2.9 + 1.3 = 4.1 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Johor Darul Takzim FC · 70%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 78%). Most likely score: 2–1.
Why these picks?
Johor Darul Takzim FC have the highest probability (70%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 78% from the same lambdas. 2–1 is the most likely score (8%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Johor Darul Takzim FC — last game: Away to Terengganu (3-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 4 they averaged 71% of the shots and 80% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 4). They turn 188% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 50% of theirs. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents. Port FC — last game: Against Rayong FC (4-1) they had 56% of the shots (14 to 11, on target 6-3) and 67% possession. From 6 shots on target they scored 4, conceded 1 from 3 on target. 0′–15′: pressed with 100% of the pressure → goal on 6′. 15′–30′: pressed with 100% of the pressure → goal on 18′, 22′. 45′–60′: under 67% of the pressure → the defence held. Over the last 4 they averaged 45% of the shots and 53% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 4). They turn 50% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 44% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 2. Red cards: 1 theirs.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.