Instituto Cordoba v Deportivo Riestra: analysis and our pick
Liga Profesional Argentina · tomorrow 02:15 · Estadio Presidente Peron. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Instituto Cordoba in good form
Instituto Cordoba have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 1–0 away win at Defensa Y Justicia and a 2–2 home draw with Boca Juniors. Deportivo Riestra have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with Union Santa Fe and a 0–1 away defeat at San Lorenzo.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 65%, Over 2.5 30%, both teams scored 60%. Instituto Cordoba score 2.4 and concede 1.0 a game, Deportivo Riestra 0.4 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 0.6 = 2.0 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Instituto Cordoba · 55%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 67%). Most likely score: 1–0.
Why these picks?
Instituto Cordoba have the highest probability (55%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 67% from the same lambdas. 1–0 is the most likely score (17%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Instituto Cordoba — last game: Away to Defensa Y Justicia (1-0) they had 26% of the shots (7 to 20, on target 3-3). From 3 shots on target they scored 1, the defence faced 3 shots on target and held (no goals). Over the last 5 they averaged 53% of the shots and 62% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 5). They turn 52% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 36% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 0 theirs, 2 for opponents. Deportivo Riestra — last game: Against Union Santa Fe (1-1) they had 52% of the shots (13 to 12, on target 3-5). From 3 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 1 from 5 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 50% of the shots and 46% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 5). They turn 11% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 29% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.