Estoril U23 v Santa Clara U23: analysis and our pick
Liga Revelação U23 · tomorrow 13:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Estoril U23 in good form
Estoril U23 have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 2–2 away draw with Leixões U23 and a 1–0 home win over Sporting CP U23. Santa Clara U23 have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with Sporting Braga U23 and a 0–7 away defeat at Moreirense U23.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 75%. Estoril U23 score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game, Santa Clara U23 0.8 and 2.2. The Poisson model expects 2.3 + 1.2 = 3.5 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Estoril U23 · 62%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 68%). Most likely score: 2–1.
Why these picks?
Estoril U23 have the highest probability (62%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 68% from the same lambdas. 2–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Estoril U23 — last game: Against Famalicão U23 (4-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.