Atlas W v Puebla W: analysis and our pick
Liga MX Femenil · tomorrow 01:00 · Estadio Jalisco. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Puebla W have a chance to respond
Atlas W have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with León W and a 0–1 away defeat at Pumas UNAM W. Puebla W have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with Tijuana W and a 0–1 away defeat at Santos Laguna W.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 65%. Atlas W score 1.0 and concede 0.8 a game, Puebla W 0.8 and 2.4. The Poisson model expects 2.4 + 1.0 = 3.4 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Atlas W · 67%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 66%). Most likely score: 2–1.
Why these picks?
Atlas W have the highest probability (67%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 66% from the same lambdas. 2–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Puebla W — last game: Against Tijuana W (1-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. 🟥 There was a red card (Tijuana W). Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.