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Arnett Gardens v Molynes United: analysis and our pick

Premier League · tomorrow 00:05. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.

OUR PICK1 · Arnett Gardens55%
GOALS MARKETOver 1.5At least two goals · 80%
CORRECT-SCORE LEAN1–112%

Molynes United have a chance to respond

Arnett Gardens have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–2 away draw with Montego Bay United and a 1–1 home draw with Portmore United. Molynes United have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 1–0 home win over Cavalier and a 0–1 away defeat at Dunbeholden.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 50%. Arnett Gardens score 2.0 and concede 1.8 a game, Molynes United 0.4 and 2.0. The Poisson model expects 1.8 + 1.0 = 2.9 goals.

Our pick

Home win (1) · Arnett Gardens · 55%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 80%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Arnett Gardens have the highest probability (55%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 80% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (12%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Molynes United — last game: Away to Dunbeholden (0-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..

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This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.