Tigres UANL W v Monterrey W: analysis and our pick
Liga MX Femenil · tomorrow 02:06 · Estadio Universitario. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Tigres UANL W in good form
Tigres UANL W have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–0 home win over Querétaro W and a 3–1 away win at Pumas UNAM W. Monterrey W have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 1–0 home win over Cruz Azul W and a 4–3 home win over América W.
The head-to-head favours Tigres UANL W
In the last 5 meetings: 3 wins for Tigres UANL W, 2 draws, 0 for Monterrey W, with 3.4 goals a game. Most recently: Monterrey W 0–3 Tigres UANL W (25 Apr 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 75%, both teams scored 60%. Tigres UANL W score 3.0 and concede 1.8 a game, Monterrey W 4.0 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 2.1 + 1.6 = 3.7 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Tigres UANL W · 48%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 71%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Tigres UANL W have the highest probability (48%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 71% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (9%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: Under 2.5 2.20 → 2.35 (+6.8%, drifting) · Not both to score 2.25 → 2.38 (+5.8%, drifting) · 1 (Tigres UANL W) 2.00 → 2.10 (+5%, drifting) · Over 2.5 1.65 → 1.57 (-4.8%, backed).
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.