San Diego Wave W v Boston Legacy W: analysis and our pick
NWSL Women · tomorrow 01:00 · Snapdragon Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
San Diego Wave W in good form
San Diego Wave W have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 2–1 away win at North Carolina Courage W and a 2–1 away win at Orlando Pride W. Boston Legacy W have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–1 home win over Racing Louisville W and a 4–2 away win at Portland Thorns W.
The head-to-head favours San Diego Wave W
In the last 1 meetings: 1 win for San Diego Wave W, 0 draws, 0 for Boston Legacy W, with 1.0 goals a game. Most recently: Boston Legacy W 0–1 San Diego Wave W (4 Apr 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 70%. San Diego Wave W score 2.0 and concede 0.6 a game, Boston Legacy W 2.0 and 1.4. The Poisson model expects 1.6 + 1.2 = 2.8 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · San Diego Wave W · 43%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 78%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
San Diego Wave W have the highest probability (43%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 78% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
San Diego Wave W — last game: Away to North Carolina Courage W (2-1) they had 52% of the shots (14 to 13, on target 4-4). From 4 shots on target they scored 2, conceded 1 from 4 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 54% of the shots and 62% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 5). They turn 34% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 17% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents. Boston Legacy W — last game: Against Racing Louisville W (2-1) they had 59% of the shots (19 to 13, on target 6-5). From 6 shots on target they scored 2, conceded 1 from 5 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 57% of the shots and 54% of the shots on target (on top in 4 of 5). They turn 31% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 26% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 3. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.