Crown Legacy v Columbus Crew II: analysis and our pick
MLS Next Pro · tomorrow 01:00 · Sportsplex at Matthews. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Crown Legacy in good form
Crown Legacy have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–1 home win over New York RB II and a 2–1 away win at FC Cincinnati II. Columbus Crew II have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–1 home win over New England II and a 1–1 home draw with Carolina Core.
The head-to-head favours Columbus Crew II
In the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Crown Legacy, 2 draws, 2 for Columbus Crew II, with 2.6 goals a game. Most recently: Columbus Crew II 1–1 Crown Legacy (7 Apr 2025).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 70%. Crown Legacy score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game, Columbus Crew II 1.2 and 1.6. The Poisson model expects 1.9 + 1.3 = 3.2 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Crown Legacy · 49%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 84%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Crown Legacy have the highest probability (49%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 84% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (12%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.