Club Tijuana U21 v Santos Laguna U21: analysis and our pick

Club Tijuana U21 looking for a response

Club Tijuana U21 have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 0–5 away defeat at Toluca U21 and a 0–0 home draw with Puebla U21. Santos Laguna U21 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with UNAM Pumas U21 and a 3–1 home win over Queretaro U21.

An even head-to-head

In the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Club Tijuana U21, 0 draws, 1 for Santos Laguna U21, with 2.5 goals a game. Most recently: Club Tijuana U21 3–0 Santos Laguna U21 (9 Mar 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 70%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 55%. Club Tijuana U21 score 0.6 and concede 2.0 a game, Santos Laguna U21 1.8 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 1.5 + 1.1 = 2.6 goals.

Our pick

Home win (1) · Club Tijuana U21 · 46%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 75%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Club Tijuana U21 have the highest probability (46%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 75% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Santos Laguna U21 — last game: Away to Atl. San Luis U21 (2-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. 🟥 There was a red card (Santos Laguna U21). Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 1 theirs.