Caiquetio v Sporting CP: analysis and our pick
Division di Honor · tomorrow 02:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Caiquetio in good form
Caiquetio have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–2 away defeat at Nacional and a 2–1 home win over Unistars. Sporting CP have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–3 away defeat at Britannia and a 1–1 away draw with Dakota.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 65%. Caiquetio score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game, Sporting CP 1.2 and 1.4. The Poisson model expects 1.6 + 0.9 = 2.5 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Caiquetio · 51%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 54%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Caiquetio have the highest probability (51%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 54% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Sporting CP — last game: Against La Fama (2-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.