RAAL La Louvière v Zulte Waregem: analysis and our pick
Jupiler Pro League · today 21:45 · Easi Arena. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
RAAL La Louvière in good form
RAAL La Louvière have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 4–0 home win over Liège and a 1–4 home defeat to Club Brugge KV. Zulte Waregem have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 3–0 home win over Seraing United and a 0–2 home defeat to Gent.
The head-to-head favours Zulte Waregem
In the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for RAAL La Louvière, 3 draws, 2 for Zulte Waregem, with 2.0 goals a game. Most recently: Zulte Waregem 4–0 RAAL La Louvière (26 Apr 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 35%. RAAL La Louvière score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game, Zulte Waregem 0.8 and 1.6. The Poisson model expects 1.5 + 1.5 = 2.9 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Zulte Waregem · 37%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 81%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Zulte Waregem have the highest probability (37%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 81% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
RAAL La Louvière — last game: Against Club Brugge KV (1-4) they had 45% of the shots (17 to 21, on target 3-7). From 3 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 4 from 7 on target. Over the last 4 they averaged 50% of the shots and 46% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 4). They turn 73% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 46% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 2. Red cards: 1 theirs. Zulte Waregem — last game: Against Gent (0-2) they had 52% of the shots (13 to 12, on target 3-7). From 3 shots on target they scored 0, conceded 2 from 7 on target. 🟥 There was a red card (Zulte Waregem). Over the last 4 they averaged 47% of the shots and 31% of the shots on target. They turn 11% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 40% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 3. Red cards: 1 theirs.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: Over 3.5 3.25 → 3.40 (+4.6%, drifting) · Under 1.5 3.50 → 3.40 (-2.9%, backed) · Both teams score 1.70 → 1.75 (+2.9%, drifting) · Over 2.5 1.90 → 1.95 (+2.6%, drifting).
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.