Iraklis 1908 v Kifisia: analysis and our pick
Super League 1 · today 19:00 · Kaftanzoglio Stadio. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Kifisia have a chance to respond
Iraklis 1908 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–2 away defeat at PAOK and a 2–0 home win over Levadiakos. Kifisia have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 1–2 home defeat to Aris Thessalonikis and a 2–0 home win over Panetolikos.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 40%, both teams scored 60%. Iraklis 1908 score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game, Kifisia 1.0 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 1.5 + 1.1 = 2.6 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Iraklis 1908 · 45%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 74%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Iraklis 1908 have the highest probability (45%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 74% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Iraklis 1908 — last game: Away to PAOK (1-2) they had 36% of the shots (10 to 18, on target 3-3). From 3 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 2 from 3 on target. 🟥 There was a red card (Iraklis 1908). Over the last 5 they averaged 35% of the shots and 38% of the shots on target. They turn 50% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 15% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 2 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 1 theirs. Kifisia — last game: Against Aris Thessalonikis (1-2) they had 57% of the shots (13 to 10, on target 2-4). From 2 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 2 from 4 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 52% of the shots and 54% of the shots on target (on top in 3 of 5). They turn 36% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 42% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 2.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: Over 3.5 3.75 → 4.00 (+6.7%, drifting) · Under 3.5 1.25 → 1.22 (-2.4%, backed) · Over 2.5 2.15 → 2.20 (+2.3%, drifting) · Under 2.5 1.67 → 1.65 (-1.2%, backed).
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.