South Melbourne v Sydney United: analysis and our pick
Australian Championship · tomorrow 11:30 · Lakeside Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
South Melbourne in good form
South Melbourne have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–0 away win at Sutherland Sharks and a 1–1 home draw with Melbourne Victory. Sydney United have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with Canberra FC and a 3–1 away win at APIA Leichhardt Tigers.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 65%. South Melbourne score 1.6 and concede 1.0 a game, Sydney United 2.6 and 0.6. The Poisson model expects 1.1 + 1.4 = 2.5 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Sydney United · 42%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 53%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Sydney United have the highest probability (42%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 53% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
South Melbourne — last game: Against Melbourne Victory (1-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Sydney United — last game: Against Canberra FC (1-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.