Sanna Khanh Hoa v Than Quang Ninh: analysis and our pick

Than Quang Ninh have a chance to respond

Sanna Khanh Hoa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–0 away win at Long An and a 4–1 home win over Pho Hien. Than Quang Ninh have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–0 home win over Xuan Thien Phu Tho and a 0–0 away draw with Long An.

The head-to-head favours Sanna Khanh Hoa

In the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Sanna Khanh Hoa, 2 draws, 1 for Than Quang Ninh, with 2.2 goals a game. Most recently: Sanna Khanh Hoa 1–1 Than Quang Ninh (30 May 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 65%, Over 2.5 30%, both teams scored 55%. Sanna Khanh Hoa score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game, Than Quang Ninh 1.4 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 0.9 = 2.3 goals.

Our pick

Home win (1) · Sanna Khanh Hoa · 46%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 60%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Sanna Khanh Hoa have the highest probability (46%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 60% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Sanna Khanh Hoa — last game: Against Pho Hien (4-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..