Olimpia W v Cruzeiro W: analysis and our pick
CONMEBOL Libertadores Femenina · tomorrow 03:00 · Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Olimpia W looking for a response
Olimpia W have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–0 away win at LDU Quito W and a 2–2 away draw with Bolivar W. Cruzeiro W have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 3–0 home win over Bolivar W and a 2–1 home win over LDU Quito W.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 40%. Olimpia W score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game, Cruzeiro W 1.2 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 1.1 = 2.4 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Olimpia W · 39%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 57%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Olimpia W have the highest probability (39%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 57% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (15%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Olimpia W — last game: Against São Paulo W (0-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots..
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.