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Ironi Beit Shemesh v Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: analysis and our pick

Liga Alef · tomorrow 13:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.

OUR PICK1 · Ironi Beit Shemesh38%
GOALS MARKETOver 1.5At least two goals · 81%
CORRECT-SCORE LEAN1–113%

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have a chance to respond

Ironi Beit Shemesh have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 3–3 away draw with Maccabi Kiryat Malachi and a 3–1 home win over Tzeirey Tira. Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 4–2 home win over FC Jerusalem and a 0–0 away draw with Hapoel Herzliya.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 55%, both teams scored 65%. Ironi Beit Shemesh score 2.0 and concede 2.2 a game, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 1.2 and 1.6. The Poisson model expects 1.5 + 1.4 = 3.0 goals.

Our pick

Home win (1) · Ironi Beit Shemesh · 38%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 81%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Ironi Beit Shemesh have the highest probability (38%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 81% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Ironi Beit Shemesh — last game: Away to Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (3-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 2. Red cards: 1 theirs. Hapoel Mahane Yehuda — last game: Away to Hapoel Herzliya (0-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.

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This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.