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Hapoel Ironi Arraba v Maccabi Neve Sha'anan: analysis and our pick

Liga Alef · tomorrow 13:30. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.

OUR PICK2 · Maccabi Neve Sha'anan41%
GOALS MARKETOver 1.5At least two goals · 79%
CORRECT-SCORE LEAN1–113%

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have a chance to respond

Hapoel Ironi Arraba have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–1 away win at Hapoel Bnei Musmus and a 0–0 home draw with Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt. Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–2 home defeat to Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed and a 2–1 away win at Maccabi K. Ata Bialik.

The head-to-head favours Hapoel Ironi Arraba

In the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Hapoel Ironi Arraba, 1 draw, 0 for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan, with 2.0 goals a game. Most recently: Hapoel Ironi Arraba 3–1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan (27 Jan 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 65%. Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 a game, Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 1.2 and 2.0. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 1.6 = 2.9 goals.

Our pick

Away win (2) · Maccabi Neve Sha'anan · 41%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 79%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have the highest probability (41%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 79% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan — last game: Against Tira (2-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.

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This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.