Fort Lauderdale United W v Carolina Ascent W: analysis and our pick

Fort Lauderdale United W looking for a response

Fort Lauderdale United W have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 1–4 away defeat at Sporting JAX W and a 2–1 home win over Lexington W. Carolina Ascent W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 1–0 home win over DC Power W and a 3–0 away win at Tampa Bay Sun W.

The head-to-head favours Carolina Ascent W

In the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Fort Lauderdale United W, 2 draws, 2 for Carolina Ascent W, with 2.6 goals a game. Most recently: Carolina Ascent W 3–0 Fort Lauderdale United W (6 Sept 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 65%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 45%. Fort Lauderdale United W score 1.0 and concede 2.0 a game, Carolina Ascent W 1.8 and 0.6. The Poisson model expects 0.7 + 1.7 = 2.5 goals.

Our pick

Away win (2) · Carolina Ascent W · 59%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 56%). Most likely score: 0–1.

Why these picks?

Carolina Ascent W have the highest probability (59%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 56% from the same lambdas. 0–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Fort Lauderdale United W — last game: Against Lexington W (2-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 3 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Carolina Ascent W — last game: Away to Tampa Bay Sun W (3-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..