FC Jerusalem v Hapoel Sderot: analysis and our pick
Liga Alef · tomorrow 12:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Hapoel Sderot have a chance to respond
FC Jerusalem have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–4 away defeat at Hapoel Mahane Yehuda and a 0–1 home defeat to Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. Hapoel Sderot have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–2 home draw with Hapoel Herzliya and a 4–1 away win at Hapoel Rahat.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 75%. FC Jerusalem score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game, Hapoel Sderot 1.4 and 1.6. The Poisson model expects 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.3 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · FC Jerusalem · 37%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 64%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
FC Jerusalem have the highest probability (37%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 64% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
FC Jerusalem — last game: Against Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (0-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 4 they averaged null% of the shots..
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.