Fakirerpool v Rahmatgonj MFS: analysis and our pick

Fakirerpool looking for a response

Fakirerpool have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–4 away defeat at Brothers Union and a 0–8 away defeat at Bangladesh Police. Rahmatgonj MFS have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–2 home draw with Brothers Union and a 1–3 home defeat to Chattogram.

The head-to-head favours Rahmatgonj MFS

In the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Fakirerpool, 1 draw, 3 for Rahmatgonj MFS, with 3.0 goals a game. Most recently: Fakirerpool 0–0 Rahmatgonj MFS (28 Apr 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 65%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 50%. Fakirerpool score 0.8 and concede 3.0 a game, Rahmatgonj MFS 1.2 and 1.6. The Poisson model expects 1.2 + 1.9 = 3.1 goals.

Our pick

Away win (2) · Rahmatgonj MFS · 52%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 83%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Rahmatgonj MFS have the highest probability (52%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 83% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (12%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Rahmatgonj MFS — last game: Away to Brothers Union (0-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..