Dynamo Kyiv v Kudrivka: analysis and our pick
Premier League · tomorrow 13:00 · Valeriy Lobanovsky Dynamo Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Dynamo Kyiv in good form
Dynamo Kyiv have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–3 away defeat at Polessya and a 1–0 home win over Karpaty. Kudrivka have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 4–1 home win over Bukovyna and a 1–2 away defeat at LNZ Cherkasy.
The head-to-head favours Dynamo Kyiv
In the last 3 meetings: 3 wins for Dynamo Kyiv, 0 draws, 0 for Kudrivka, with 3.7 goals a game. Most recently: Dynamo Kyiv 3–2 Kudrivka (24 May 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 45%. Dynamo Kyiv score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game, Kudrivka 1.6 and 2.0. The Poisson model expects 2.0 + 0.9 = 2.9 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Dynamo Kyiv · 62%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 80%). Most likely score: 2–0.
Why these picks?
Dynamo Kyiv have the highest probability (62%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 80% from the same lambdas. 2–0 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Dynamo Kyiv — last game: Away to Polessya (1-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. 🟥 There was a red card (Polessya). Over the last 3 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 0 theirs, 2 for opponents. Kudrivka — last game: Against Bukovyna (4-1) they had 50% of the shots (7 to 7, on target 4-3). From 4 shots on target they scored 4, conceded 1 from 3 on target. Over the last 3 they averaged 55% of the shots and 58% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 3). They turn 86% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 100% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 2. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: Double chance X2 3.00 → 4.33 (+44.3%, drifting) · 2 (Kudrivka) 11.00 → 13.00 (+18.2%, drifting) · Under 1.5 5.50 → 6.50 (+18.2%, drifting) · Under 2.5 2.62 → 3.00 (+14.5%, drifting).
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.