Chertanovo U20 v Akademiya Konoplev U20: analysis and our pick
Youth Championship · tomorrow 13:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Chertanovo U20 looking for a response
Chertanovo U20 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 2–5 home defeat to CSKA Moskva U19 and a 1–2 away defeat at Fakel U19. Akademiya Konoplev U20 have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 3–2 home win over Dynamo Makhachkala U19 and a 0–2 away defeat at CSKA Moskva U19.
An even head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Chertanovo U20, 1 draw, 2 for Akademiya Konoplev U20, with 3.0 goals a game. Most recently: Akademiya Konoplev U20 3–0 Chertanovo U20 (26 Jun 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 95%, Over 2.5 75%, both teams scored 60%. Chertanovo U20 score 2.2 and concede 3.0 a game, Akademiya Konoplev U20 2.2 and 0.8. The Poisson model expects 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Akademiya Konoplev U20 · 50%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 73%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Akademiya Konoplev U20 have the highest probability (50%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 73% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (9%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.