Brothers Union v Abahani: analysis and our pick
Premier League · tomorrow 11:45 · Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Abahani have a chance to respond
Brothers Union have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–2 away draw with Rahmatgonj MFS and a 4–1 home win over Fakirerpool. Abahani have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 3–1 home win over Chattogram and a 5–1 away win at Dhaka Wanderers.
An even head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Brothers Union, 1 draw, 2 for Abahani, with 2.0 goals a game. Most recently: Brothers Union 1–2 Abahani (14 Mar 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 40%. Brothers Union score 1.4 and concede 2.0 a game, Abahani 2.6 and 0.6. The Poisson model expects 1.0 + 2.0 = 3.0 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Abahani · 61%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 81%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Abahani have the highest probability (61%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 81% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Brothers Union — last game: Against Fortis (0-6) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 3 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.