Beitar Nahariya v Hapoel Beit Shean: analysis and our pick
Liga Alef · tomorrow 13:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Beitar Nahariya in good form
Beitar Nahariya have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 4–0 away win at Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel and a 1–0 away win at Hapoel Yarka. Hapoel Beit Shean have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with Hapoel Ironi Karmiel and a 1–1 home draw with Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 65%, Over 2.5 45%, both teams scored 45%. Beitar Nahariya score 2.0 and concede 1.0 a game, Hapoel Beit Shean 1.6 and 0.8. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 1.5 = 2.8 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Hapoel Beit Shean · 40%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 78%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Hapoel Beit Shean have the highest probability (40%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 78% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.