Auto Esporte v Cruzeiro PB: analysis and our pick
Paraibano 2 · tomorrow 01:30. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Auto Esporte in good form
Auto Esporte have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 3–0 home win over Serrano PB and a 3–1 away win at São Paulo Crystal. Cruzeiro PB have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 3–2 home win over Serrano PB and a 9–0 home win over Picuiense.
The head-to-head favours Auto Esporte
In the last 3 meetings: 1 win for Auto Esporte, 2 draws, 0 for Cruzeiro PB, with 1.0 goals a game. Most recently: Cruzeiro PB 1–1 Auto Esporte (18 Oct 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 70%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 55%. Auto Esporte score 2.0 and concede 0.4 a game, Cruzeiro PB 3.6 and 0.8. The Poisson model expects 1.1 + 1.1 = 2.1 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Auto Esporte · 34%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 64%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Auto Esporte have the highest probability (34%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 64% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (15%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Cruzeiro PB — last game: Against Picuiense (9-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.