Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Cruz Azul Hidalgo: analysis and our pick
Liga de Expansión MX · tomorrow 04:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca looking for a response
Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–1 away win at Leones Negros UDG and a 2–1 home win over Correcaminos Uat. Cruz Azul Hidalgo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–1 home win over Mineros de Zacatecas and a 3–1 away win at Dorados.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 60%. Alebrijes de Oaxaca score 1.0 and concede 2.4 a game, Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1.2 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 1.1 = 2.5 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Alebrijes de Oaxaca · 42%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 53%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca have the highest probability (42%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 53% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Cruz Azul Hidalgo — last game: Away to Dorados (3-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.