Inter Club d'Escaldes v Universitatea Craiova: analysis and our pick
UEFA Europa Conference League · tomorrow 19:45 · Estadi de la FAF. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Inter Club d'Escaldes in good form
Inter Club d'Escaldes have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 4–2 home win over Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and a 0–2 away defeat at Mjallby AIF. Universitatea Craiova have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 2–0 home win over Farul Constanta and a 1–1 home draw with Getafe.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 30%. Inter Club d'Escaldes score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game, Universitatea Craiova 2.6 and 0.2. The Poisson model expects 1.5 + 1.3 = 2.8 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Inter Club d'Escaldes · 41%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 78%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Inter Club d'Escaldes have the highest probability (41%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 78% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Inter Club d'Escaldes — last game: Away to Mjallby AIF (0-2) they had 40% of the shots (8 to 12, on target 1-7). From 1 shots on target they scored 0, conceded 2 from 7 on target. Over the last 4 they averaged 40% of the shots and 13% of the shots on target. They turn 700% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 57% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 2. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents. Universitatea Craiova — last game: Against Farul Constanta (2-0) they had 65% of the shots (15 to 8, on target 7-2). From 7 shots on target they scored 2, conceded 0 from 2 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 62% of the shots and 74% of the shots on target (on top in 3 of 5). They turn 45% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 10% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: Under 1.5 3.50 → 3.75 (+7.1%, drifting) · Over 2.5 1.90 → 1.85 (-2.6%, backed) · Under 2.5 1.90 → 1.95 (+2.6%, drifting) · Over 1.5 1.28 → 1.25 (-2.3%, backed).
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.