Ferencvarosi TC v Torreense: analysis and our pick
UEFA Europa League · tomorrow 19:45 · Groupama Aréna. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Torreense have a chance to respond
Ferencvarosi TC have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 1–1 away draw with Kisvarda FC and a 2–1 home win over Plzen. Torreense have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 1–2 home defeat to Sunderland and a 0–1 away defeat at Tondela.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 60%. Ferencvarosi TC score 1.6 and concede 1.0 a game, Torreense 1.0 and 0.8. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 1.0 = 2.3 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Ferencvarosi TC · 43%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 59%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Ferencvarosi TC have the highest probability (43%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 59% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (15%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Ferencvarosi TC — last game: Away to Kisvarda FC (1-1) they had 83% of the shots (24 to 5, on target 7-2). From 7 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 1 from 2 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 55% of the shots and 58% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 5). They turn 28% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 24% of theirs. Torreense — last game: Against Sunderland (1-2) they had 12% of the shots (3 to 22, on target 1-5). From 1 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 2 from 5 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 24% of the shots and 29% of the shots on target. They turn 63% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 20% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 2 theirs, 1 for opponents.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: 2 (Torreense) 8.00 → 9.00 (+12.5%, drifting) · Under 1.5 4.50 → 5.00 (+11.1%, drifting) · Double chance X2 3.00 → 3.25 (+8.3%, drifting) · Under 2.5 2.30 → 2.38 (+3.5%, drifting).
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.