FC Iberia 1999 v Mjallby AIF: analysis and our pick
UEFA Europa Conference League · tomorrow 19:45 · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
FC Iberia 1999 in good form
FC Iberia 1999 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–0 away win at Dila and a 0–2 away defeat at St. Truiden. Mjallby AIF have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 0–1 away defeat at Vasteras SK and a 2–0 home win over Inter Club d'Escaldes.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 35%, both teams scored 40%. FC Iberia 1999 score 1.4 and concede 1.0 a game, Mjallby AIF 0.6 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 0.8 = 2.3 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · FC Iberia 1999 · 50%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 61%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
FC Iberia 1999 have the highest probability (50%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 61% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
FC Iberia 1999 — last game: Away to Dila (2-0) they had 64% of the shots (7 to 4, on target 3-2). From 3 shots on target they scored 2, conceded 0 from 2 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 38% of the shots and 44% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 5). They turn 88% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 50% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 2. Mjallby AIF — last game: Away to Vasteras SK (0-1) they had 34% of the shots (11 to 21, on target 3-9). From 3 shots on target they scored 0, conceded 1 from 9 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 50% of the shots and 56% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 5). They turn 14% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 35% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 1.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: Under 1.5 3.75 → 3.50 (-6.7%, backed) · Over 2.5 1.85 → 1.90 (+2.7%, drifting) · Under 2.5 1.95 → 1.90 (-2.6%, backed) · Over 1.5 1.25 → 1.28 (+2.4%, drifting).
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.