Borac Banja Luka v KuPS: analysis and our pick
UEFA Europa Conference League · tomorrow 22:00 · Gradski stadion Banja Luka. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Borac Banja Luka in good form
Borac Banja Luka have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–2 away defeat at Panathinaikos and a 2–0 home win over BSK Banja Luka. KuPS have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–0 home win over VPS and a 2–4 home defeat to Trabzonspor.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 65%, Over 2.5 35%, both teams scored 45%. Borac Banja Luka score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game, KuPS 1.2 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 1.6 + 1.0 = 2.6 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Borac Banja Luka · 48%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 75%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Borac Banja Luka have the highest probability (48%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 75% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Borac Banja Luka — last game: Away to Panathinaikos (1-2) they had 13% of the shots (4 to 28, on target 2-9). From 2 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 2 from 9 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 13% of the shots and 18% of the shots on target. They turn 550% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 89% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 3. KuPS — last game: Against VPS (2-0) they had 59% of the shots (10 to 7, on target 4-2). From 4 shots on target they scored 2, conceded 0 from 2 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 44% of the shots and 51% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 5). They turn 30% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 32% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 1 theirs.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: Over 3.5 3.25 → 3.40 (+4.6%, drifting) · 2 (KuPS) 3.75 → 3.90 (+4%, drifting) · 1 (Borac Banja Luka) 1.90 → 1.85 (-2.6%, backed) · Under 3.5 1.33 → 1.30 (-2.3%, backed). The market is moving the same way as our pick.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.