Zvijezda 09 v Omarska: analysis and our pick
1st League - RS · today 15:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Zvijezda 09 looking for a response
Zvijezda 09 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 0–1 away defeat at Rudar Prijedor and a 2–1 home win over Drina Zvornik. Omarska have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–0 home win over Kozara Gradiška and a 0–4 away defeat at Laktaši.
The head-to-head favours Zvijezda 09
In the last 5 meetings: 3 wins for Zvijezda 09, 0 draws, 2 for Omarska, with 3.4 goals a game. Most recently: Zvijezda 09 0–2 Omarska (30 May 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 65%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 50%. Zvijezda 09 score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game, Omarska 0.6 and 2.0. The Poisson model expects 1.9 + 1.3 = 3.2 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Zvijezda 09 · 49%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 84%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Zvijezda 09 have the highest probability (49%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 84% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (12%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: 2 (Omarska) 3.25 → 4.33 (+33.2%, drifting) · Double chance X2 1.70 → 2.15 (+26.5%, drifting) · 1 (Zvijezda 09) 1.95 → 1.57 (-19.5%, backed) · X (draw) 3.40 → 4.00 (+17.6%, drifting). The market is moving the same way as our pick.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.