Volov Shumen v Chernolomets 1919: analysis and our pick
Third League - Northeast · today 16:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Volov Shumen looking for a response
Volov Shumen have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–1 home win over Cherno more II and a 1–2 away defeat at Chernomorets Balchik. Chernolomets 1919 have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 0–0 away draw with Septemvri Tervel and a 5–1 home win over Benkovski Isperih.
The head-to-head favours Chernolomets 1919
In the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Volov Shumen, 0 draws, 4 for Chernolomets 1919, with 5.0 goals a game. Most recently: Volov Shumen 5–0 Chernolomets 1919 (13 May 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 50%. Volov Shumen score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game, Chernolomets 1919 3.2 and 0.2. The Poisson model expects 2.2 + 1.5 = 3.7 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Volov Shumen · 52%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 72%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Volov Shumen have the highest probability (52%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 72% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (9%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.