Trepça'89 v Dinamo Ferizaj: analysis and our pick

Dinamo Ferizaj have a chance to respond

Trepça'89 have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 0–0 away draw with Mitrovica and a 3–1 home win over Ramiz Sadiku. Dinamo Ferizaj have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 0–0 away draw with Liria Prizren and a 2–0 home win over Prishtina e Re.

An even head-to-head

In the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Trepça'89, 0 draws, 1 for Dinamo Ferizaj, with 2.5 goals a game. Most recently: Trepça'89 2–0 Dinamo Ferizaj (9 May 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 70%, Over 2.5 25%, both teams scored 40%. Trepça'89 score 1.0 and concede 0.8 a game, Dinamo Ferizaj 1.0 and 0.4. The Poisson model expects 1.1 + 0.9 = 2.0 goals.

Our pick

Home win (1) · Trepça'89 · 40%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 67%). Most likely score: 0–0.

Why these picks?

Trepça'89 have the highest probability (40%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 67% from the same lambdas. 0–0 is the most likely score (15%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Trepça'89 — last game: Against Ramiz Sadiku (3-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..