Trenčín W v Spartak Myjava W: analysis and our pick

Spartak Myjava W have a chance to respond

Trenčín W have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 3–1 home win over Tatran Prešov W and a 0–8 away defeat at Slovan Bratislava W. Spartak Myjava W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 5–0 away win at Z. Moravce-Vrable W and a 6–0 home win over Spartak Trnava W.

The head-to-head favours Spartak Myjava W

In the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for Trenčín W, 0 draws, 5 for Spartak Myjava W, with 7.6 goals a game. Most recently: Spartak Myjava W 7–0 Trenčín W (14 Mar 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 100%, Over 2.5 90%, both teams scored 70%. Trenčín W score 2.2 and concede 2.8 a game, Spartak Myjava W 4.6 and 0.6. The Poisson model expects 1.8 + 3.7 = 5.5 goals.

Our pick

Away win (2) · Spartak Myjava W · 73%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 91%). Most likely score: 1–3.

Why these picks?

Spartak Myjava W have the highest probability (73%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 91% from the same lambdas. 1–3 is the most likely score (6%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Trenčín W — last game: Against Tatran Prešov W (3-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Spartak Myjava W — last game: Against PAOK W (1-1) they had 33% of the shots (7 to 14, on target 3-9). From 3 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 1 from 9 on target. Over the last 2 they averaged 39% of the shots and 38% of the shots on target. They turn 44% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 20% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 1.