Tainan City v Pusamania Borneo: analysis and our pick
AFC Challenge League · today 15:00 · Stadion Segiri. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Pusamania Borneo have a chance to respond
Tainan City have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 0–0 away draw with Tatung and a 0–2 home defeat to AC Taipei. Pusamania Borneo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–0 home win over Yangon United and a 1–2 away defeat at Java United.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 55%, Over 2.5 40%, both teams scored 40%. Tainan City score 0.8 and concede 1.0 a game, Pusamania Borneo 1.0 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 1.2 = 2.5 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Tainan City · 39%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 55%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Tainan City have the highest probability (39%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 55% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Pusamania Borneo — last game: Against Yangon United (2-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: X (draw) 4.00 → 4.75 (+18.8%, drifting) · Double chance 1X 2.88 → 3.40 (+18.1%, drifting) · 1 (Tainan City) 8.50 → 9.50 (+11.8%, drifting) · Under 2.5 2.05 → 2.20 (+7.3%, drifting).
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.