Suhareka v Rilindja 1974: analysis and our pick
Liga E Pare · today 15:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Rilindja 1974 have a chance to respond
Suhareka have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 3–0 away win at Tefik Canga and a 0–0 home draw with KF Lepenci. Rilindja 1974 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 0–2 home defeat to Istogu and a 2–0 away win at KF Lepenci.
An even head-to-head
In the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Suhareka, 0 draws, 1 for Rilindja 1974, with 3.5 goals a game. Most recently: Suhareka 3–1 Rilindja 1974 (9 May 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 50%. Suhareka score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game, Rilindja 1974 1.2 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 1.7 + 1.1 = 2.8 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Suhareka · 51%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 78%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Suhareka have the highest probability (51%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 78% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Suhareka — last game: Against KF Lepenci (0-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.