Stellenbosch W v Mamelodi Sundowns W: analysis and our pick
Super League Women · today 16:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Stellenbosch W looking for a response
Stellenbosch W have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–0 away win at Diepkloof W and a 2–2 away draw with Copperbelt Ladies W. Mamelodi Sundowns W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 0–0 home draw with UWC W and a 8–0 away win at Richmond United W.
The head-to-head favours Mamelodi Sundowns W
In the last 1 meetings: 0 wins for Stellenbosch W, 0 draws, 1 for Mamelodi Sundowns W, with 1.0 goals a game. Most recently: Mamelodi Sundowns W 1–0 Stellenbosch W (6 Sept 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 70%, Over 2.5 55%, both teams scored 15%. Stellenbosch W score 0.6 and concede 2.0 a game, Mamelodi Sundowns W 3.2 and 0.0. The Poisson model expects 0.2 + 3.0 = 3.2 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Mamelodi Sundowns W · 91%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 63%). Most likely score: 0–3.
Why these picks?
Mamelodi Sundowns W have the highest probability (91%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 63% from the same lambdas. 0–3 is the most likely score (18%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.