Sidama Bunna v Ethiopian Medhin: analysis and our pick
Premier League · today 15:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Sidama Bunna looking for a response
Sidama Bunna have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 0–2 home defeat to Al Hilal Omdurman and a 0–1 home defeat to Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Ethiopian Medhin have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–1 away draw with Awassa Kenema and a 2–0 away win at Gamo Chencha.
The head-to-head favours Ethiopian Medhin
In the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Sidama Bunna, 2 draws, 2 for Ethiopian Medhin, with 2.2 goals a game. Most recently: Sidama Bunna 2–2 Ethiopian Medhin (26 May 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 55%, Over 2.5 20%, both teams scored 30%. Sidama Bunna score 0.6 and concede 1.0 a game, Ethiopian Medhin 0.6 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 0.8 + 1.1 = 1.9 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Ethiopian Medhin · 40%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 71%). Most likely score: 0–0.
Why these picks?
Ethiopian Medhin have the highest probability (40%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 71% from the same lambdas. 0–0 is the most likely score (17%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Sidama Bunna — last game: Against Al Hilal Omdurman (0-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 3 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 2.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.