Sekirovo Rakovski v Zagorets: analysis and our pick

Sekirovo Rakovski looking for a response

Sekirovo Rakovski have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–3 home defeat to Sayana Haskovo and a 3–3 away draw with Yambol 1915. Zagorets have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5, including a 1–2 away defeat at Levski Krumovgrad and a 0–4 home defeat to Maritsa Milevo.

The head-to-head favours Zagorets

In the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for Sekirovo Rakovski, 1 draw, 4 for Zagorets, with 2.0 goals a game. Most recently: Sekirovo Rakovski 1–2 Zagorets (4 Apr 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 100%, Over 2.5 80%, both teams scored 60%. Sekirovo Rakovski score 2.6 and concede 3.6 a game, Zagorets 0.2 and 3.0. The Poisson model expects 1.9 + 1.7 = 3.6 goals.

Our pick

Home win (1) · Sekirovo Rakovski · 41%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 70%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Sekirovo Rakovski have the highest probability (41%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 70% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Sekirovo Rakovski — last game: Away to Yambol 1915 (3-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Zagorets — last game: Away to Neftochimic Burgas (0-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.