Rasi Salai United v Port FC: analysis and our pick
FA Cup · today 14:00 · Sisaket Provincial Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Rasi Salai United looking for a response
Rasi Salai United have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 1–5 away defeat at Sukhothai FC and a 2–4 away defeat at Uthai Thani. Port FC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–0 away win at Bangkok United and a 1–5 away defeat at Kashiwa Reysol.
The head-to-head favours Port FC
In the last 1 meetings: 0 wins for Rasi Salai United, 0 draws, 1 for Port FC, with 3.0 goals a game. Most recently: Rasi Salai United 1–2 Port FC (5 Sept 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 95%, Over 2.5 85%, both teams scored 85%. Rasi Salai United score 1.4 and concede 3.0 a game, Port FC 1.6 and 2.4. The Poisson model expects 1.7 + 1.8 = 3.5 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Port FC · 40%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 68%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Port FC have the highest probability (40%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 68% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Rasi Salai United — last game: Away to Sukhothai FC (1-5) they had 17% of the shots (3 to 15, on target 1-7). From 1 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 5 from 7 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 49% of the shots and 45% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 5). They turn 47% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 83% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 4. Red cards: 1 theirs. Port FC — last game: Away to Bangkok United (2-0) they had 55% of the shots (12 to 10, on target 6-4). From 6 shots on target they scored 2, the defence faced 4 shots on target and held (no goals). Over the last 5 they averaged 42% of the shots and 48% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 5). They turn 57% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 80% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 4. Red cards: 1 theirs.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.