Peterborough United U21 v Sheffield Wednesday U21: analysis and our pick
Professional Development League · today 15:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Peterborough United U21 looking for a response
Peterborough United U21 have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–4 home defeat to Sheffield United U21 and a 1–5 home defeat to Nottingham Forest U21. Sheffield Wednesday U21 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–5 home defeat to Huddersfield Town U21 and a 1–3 away defeat at Fleetwood Town U21.
The head-to-head favours Sheffield Wednesday U21
In the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Peterborough United U21, 1 draw, 3 for Sheffield Wednesday U21, with 3.4 goals a game. Most recently: Sheffield Wednesday U21 2–1 Peterborough United U21 (6 Mar 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 75%, both teams scored 55%. Peterborough United U21 score 0.8 and concede 3.8 a game, Sheffield Wednesday U21 2.0 and 2.6. The Poisson model expects 1.5 + 1.9 = 3.4 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Sheffield Wednesday U21 · 45%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 67%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Sheffield Wednesday U21 have the highest probability (45%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 67% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: Under 2.5 3.50 → 3.75 (+7.1%, drifting) · 2 (Sheffield Wednesday U21) 3.00 → 2.90 (-3.3%, backed) · X (draw) 4.33 → 4.20 (-3%, backed) · Over 2.5 1.28 → 1.25 (-2.3%, backed). The market is moving the same way as our pick.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.