FC Liefering v Mainz 05 U19: analysis and our pick
Friendlies Clubs · today 14:30. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
FC Liefering looking for a response
FC Liefering have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 1–4 away defeat at FC BW Linz and a 3–1 home win over Sturm Graz II. Mainz 05 U19 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 1–3 away defeat at Köln U19 and a 3–2 away win at Darmstadt 98 U19.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 75%, both teams scored 70%. FC Liefering score 1.0 and concede 2.6 a game, Mainz 05 U19 2.0 and 2.0. The Poisson model expects 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Mainz 05 U19 · 44%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 68%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Mainz 05 U19 have the highest probability (44%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 68% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
FC Liefering — last game: Away to FC BW Linz (1-4) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. 🟥 There was a red card (FC Liefering). Over the last 3 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 1 theirs.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.