Congo U20 v Central African Rep. U20: analysis and our pick
Africa Cup of Nations U20 · today 15:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Central African Rep. U20 have a chance to respond
Congo U20 have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 1–1 away draw with Congo DR U20 and a 1–1 home draw with Gabon U20. Central African Rep. U20 have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 0–2 away defeat at Cameroon U20 and a 1–1 home draw with Chad U20.
An even head-to-head
In the last 1 meetings: 0 wins for Congo U20, 1 draw, 0 for Central African Rep. U20, with 0.0 goals a game. Most recently: Central African Rep. U20 0–0 Congo U20 (26 Feb 2023).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 35%, both teams scored 50%. Congo U20 score 1.0 and concede 1.8 a game, Central African Rep. U20 0.6 and 1.6. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 1.3 = 2.7 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Congo U20 · 38%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 77%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Congo U20 have the highest probability (38%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 77% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
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