Club Brugge KV v Lens: analysis and our pick
UEFA Champions League · today 22:00 · Jan Breydel Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Club Brugge KV in good form
Club Brugge KV have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 1–0 home win over Lokeren-Temse and a 4–3 away win at Inter. Lens have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 3–1 away win at Estac Troyes and a 0–2 home defeat to Sporting CP.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 60%. Club Brugge KV score 3.0 and concede 1.0 a game, Lens 1.6 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 1.9 + 1.5 = 3.5 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Club Brugge KV · 46%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 67%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Club Brugge KV have the highest probability (46%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 67% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Club Brugge KV — last game: Away to Inter (4-3) they had 27% of the shots (10 to 27, on target 3-9). From 3 shots on target they scored 4, conceded 3 from 9 on target. Over the last 4 they averaged 49% of the shots and 58% of the shots on target (on top in 3 of 4). They turn 54% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 26% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 1. Lens — last game: Away to Estac Troyes (3-1) they had 52% of the shots (13 to 12, on target 3-5). From 3 shots on target they scored 3, conceded 1 from 5 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 58% of the shots and 49% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 5). They turn 40% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 29% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 2. Red cards: 1 theirs.
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: Under 1.5 5.50 → 7.00 (+27.3%, drifting) · Under 2.5 2.62 → 3.20 (+22.1%, drifting) · Not both to score 2.62 → 3.00 (+14.5%, drifting) · Under 3.5 1.67 → 1.91 (+14.4%, drifting).
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.