Botev Plovdiv II v Yambol 1915: analysis and our pick

Yambol 1915 have a chance to respond

Botev Plovdiv II have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 0–0 home draw with Rozova dolina and a 1–1 away draw with Sayana Haskovo. Yambol 1915 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–2 away defeat at Maritsa Milevo and a 3–3 home draw with Sekirovo Rakovski.

The head-to-head favours Botev Plovdiv II

In the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Botev Plovdiv II, 0 draws, 0 for Yambol 1915, with 3.0 goals a game. Most recently: Botev Plovdiv II 4–0 Yambol 1915 (16 May 2024).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 55%. Botev Plovdiv II score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game, Yambol 1915 2.2 and 2.4. The Poisson model expects 1.2 + 1.8 = 3.0 goals.

Our pick

Away win (2) · Yambol 1915 · 52%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 82%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Yambol 1915 have the highest probability (52%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 82% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (12%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Botev Plovdiv II — last game: Away to Sayana Haskovo (1-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Yambol 1915 — last game: Against Sekirovo Rakovski (3-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 2.