News › Match analysis
Match analysis · today

Bentonit Ijevan v Sardarapat 2: analysis and our pick

First League · today 14:30. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.

OUR PICK1 · Bentonit Ijevan54%
GOALS MARKETOver 2.5Three goals or more · 77%
CORRECT-SCORE LEAN2–18%

Bentonit Ijevan in good form

Bentonit Ijevan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–1 away draw with Banants II and a 2–1 home win over Mika. Sardarapat 2 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 2–0 home win over Banants II and a 2–3 away defeat at Mika.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 84%, Over 2.5 68%, both teams scored 58%. Bentonit Ijevan score 2.4 and concede 2.0 a game, Sardarapat 2 1.2 and 2.4. The Poisson model expects 2.4 + 1.7 = 4.1 goals.

Our pick

Home win (1) · Bentonit Ijevan · 54%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 77%). Most likely score: 2–1.

Why these picks?

Bentonit Ijevan have the highest probability (54%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 77% from the same lambdas. 2–1 is the most likely score (8%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

Live scores   All news ›

This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.