Anges Verts v New Jack: analysis and our pick
Ligue 1 · today 15:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
New Jack have a chance to respond
Anges Verts have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 0–0 home draw with New Jack and a 1–0 home win over Motema Pembe. New Jack have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 0–0 away draw with Anges Verts and a 1–1 home draw with Bukavu Dawa.
An even head-to-head
In the last 4 meetings: 1 win for Anges Verts, 2 draws, 1 for New Jack, with 1.3 goals a game. Most recently: Anges Verts 0–0 New Jack (18 Apr 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 65%, Over 2.5 30%, both teams scored 50%. Anges Verts score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game, New Jack 1.0 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 1.0 + 0.8 = 1.8 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Anges Verts · 38%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 74%). Most likely score: 0–0.
Why these picks?
Anges Verts have the highest probability (38%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 74% from the same lambdas. 0–0 is the most likely score (19%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Anges Verts — last game: Away to JSK (1-4) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.